The Evolution of Mortgage Lending in 2024

Notable shifts in mortgage lending in the UK are poised to impact the real estate market in 2024. As we anticipate a return to pre-Covid lending levels, understanding these changes is crucial for anyone looking to purchase property and with the help of this comprehensive overview, we’ll explore what lies ahead. 

Current trends and predictions

In 2023, UK mortgage lending experienced a significant downturn, with a staggering 23% decrease. As we move through 2024, projections suggest an additional 8% decline, signalling a challenging period for the industry. This decline is expected to continue until a modest recovery in 2025, when figures may return to mid-2010 levels, ranging between £120-130 billion.

Factors influencing the decline

Affordability challenges

Affordability remains a primary concern driving the decline in mortgage lending. Factors such as higher interest rates, elevated house prices relative to income, and increased cost-of-living expenses have created a constrained borrowing environment for prospective homeowners. The current Bank of England base rate is 5.25%. 

In navigating these challenges, individuals and families can benefit from partnering with Choice Mortgages UK, an independent mortgage broker committed to offering tailored solutions and accessible support. Additionally, Choice Mortgages has over 30 years of experience with finding clients the perfect mortgages, taking into account their financial well-being and the current market conditions.

Uncertainty ahead

The prospect of a general election before 28 January 2025 adds further uncertainty to the housing market. Historically, such events have prompted a temporary pause as buyers and sellers await clarity on how political changes might impact the economy and property values.

Transaction volumes

The impact of affordability challenges and uncertainty is reflected in transaction volumes, which are predicted to hover around 1 million in 2023, 2024, and 2025. This represents a 15% decline compared to pre-Covid averages.

For those entering into a property transaction, Choice Mortgages UK’s team of experienced advisers stands ready to address both straightforward and complex queries, ensuring a seamless process tailored to your individual needs. Choice Mortgages will get to know you and understand your requirements. 

Also, you won’t have to deal with lots of different people and departments – you’ll get a same-day response whether it’s answering a call, responding to your email, or inviting you to leave a detailed message. 

Expert perspectives

Despite these challenges, Emma Cox, managing director of real estate at specialist lending bank Shawbrook, has a positive outlook for the year ahead, referring to the dip in residential property transactions as, “a minor speed bump in an otherwise positive start to the year.”

Furthermore, James Tatch, Head of Analytics at UK Finance, acknowledges the difficulties faced by mortgage borrowers and anticipates a gradual improvement in affordability by 2025.
Remaining with a bright outlook, Lucian Cook, Head of Residential Research at Savills, highlights the stabilising effect of falling inflation on mortgage rates, suggesting that the housing market may have passed its peak difficulties.

Looking into the future

As we forge forward, it’s vital to stay informed and seek expert advice. Choice Mortgages UK offers free consultations, flexible communication options, and access to a wide range of lenders, ensuring unbiased and personalised solutions for every client.

So, while challenges persist, proactive decision-making and strategic partnerships can help you to navigate the real estate market with confidence. For reliable guidance and support, trust Choice Mortgages UK to help you find the right mortgage solution.

We're here to help

Your local independent experts

  • Unbiased advice with access to the entire mortgage and insurance marketplace
  • We offer a free no obligation consultation over the phone or in person
  • We are open six days a week

Call us on 01780 480600

Open today until 6pm

Get in touch


Choice Mortgages have provided me with a fantastic consultative service for over 10 years. I've had absolute peace of mind that everything related to my mortgage, home insurance, life insurance and critical illness insurance has been in hand. Nicki and the team have always given me informed guidance and I've had every confidence in their recommendations and products. A first-class service that I wouldn't hesitate to recommend.

A first-class service that I wouldn't hesitate to recommend.

Emma and her daughter